Cut Bank, Montana 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Cut Bank MT
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Cut Bank MT
Issued by: National Weather Service Great Falls, MT |
Updated: 2:11 pm MDT Jul 26, 2025 |
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Tonight
 Slight Chance T-storms then Mostly Clear
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Sunday
 Sunny then Slight Chance T-storms
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Sunday Night
 Slight Chance T-storms
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Monday
 Partly Sunny then Chance T-storms
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Monday Night
 Slight Chance T-storms
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Tuesday
 Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance T-storms
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Tuesday Night
 Chance T-storms
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Wednesday
 Partly Sunny then Chance T-storms
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Wednesday Night
 Chance T-storms
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Lo 51 °F |
Hi 77 °F |
Lo 53 °F |
Hi 76 °F |
Lo 52 °F |
Hi 77 °F |
Lo 54 °F |
Hi 75 °F |
Lo 56 °F |
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Tonight
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 51. Southwest wind 8 to 14 mph becoming northwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph. |
Sunday
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm. Sunny, with a high near 77. Northwest wind 7 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. |
Sunday Night
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. North wind 6 to 10 mph. |
Monday
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 76. North northwest wind 5 to 7 mph becoming east in the afternoon. |
Monday Night
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. North wind 3 to 7 mph. |
Tuesday
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. Light and variable wind becoming east northeast 5 to 8 mph in the morning. |
Tuesday Night
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. East northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light north after midnight. |
Wednesday
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 75. Light and variable wind becoming east southeast 8 to 13 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph. |
Wednesday Night
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. |
Thursday
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. |
Thursday Night
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. |
Friday
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 78. |
Friday Night
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. |
Saturday
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A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Cut Bank MT.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
173
FXUS65 KTFX 270027
AFDTFX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
627 PM MDT Sat Jul 26 2025
Aviation Section Updated.
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Daily rounds of showers and thunderstorms through the upcoming
week, most focused on the afternoon and early evening.
- The risk for stronger thunderstorms will be around most days, with
gusty winds being the greatest threat most days.
- As better moisture works in toward the middle of the week,
concerns for localized heavy rain from thunderstorms will
increase.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
/Issued 127 PM MDT Sat Jul 26 2025/
- Meteorological Overview:
Southwesterly flow aloft will persist across the Northern Rockies
over the upcoming week, which will promote daily afternoon and
evening showers and thunderstorms. Convective initiation most days
looks to be over terrain in Central and Southwest Montana, with
resulting showers and thunderstorms moving northeastward with time.
Looking toward the work week, better precipitable water eventually
works in, which will help the more robust thunderstorms produce
higher rainfall rates/amounts, though storm motion does not appear
to be overly slow any specific day.
The main threat with thunderstorms that form appears to be gusty
winds most days, with a lesser concern for hail. Today is no
exception - as thunderstorms develop across portions of Southwest
Montana and shift northeastward, the risk for strong to severe wind
gusts will increase. This risk continues onto the plains this
evening, eventually waning after sunset. -AM
- Forecast Confidence & Scenarios:
Confidence in the areas with the best chance for stronger
thunderstorm decreases step by step Sunday onward. These details
will become more clear once convective details from the prior day
play out.
EFI suggests as we get deeper into the work week, convective energy
increases in magnitude, becoming unusually high by Wednesday (EFI
pushing above 0.9 with a SoT between 1 and 2). While a much lesser
signal, QPF SoT over a similar timeframe does show pockets of 0,
indicating a low end chance for anomalously high precipitation
associated with the thunderstorms that are forecast to develop. -AM
&&
.AVIATION...
27/00Z TAF Period
Main concerns this evening deal with convection and gusty outflow
winds. Storms/winds will likely affect GTF/HLN/LWT through mid
evening. Storms could affect HFV later this evening with a 30%
probability. BZN/EKS should continue to see northerly winds weaken
this evening. Some models are showing some late overnight/early
morning light showers but confidence is too low at this time to
mention in TAFs. Otherwise, trying to time next round of
convection for tomorrow afternoon with many sites not seeing
convection until after 00z Mon. -DV
Refer to weather.gov/zlc for more detailed regional aviation
weather and hazard information.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF 57 84 56 83 / 60 20 30 20
CTB 51 76 52 75 / 20 20 20 30
HLN 56 86 56 86 / 40 30 30 30
BZN 51 90 51 88 / 20 20 20 20
WYS 39 81 40 83 / 10 0 0 20
DLN 47 85 48 84 / 20 30 20 20
HVR 56 84 57 83 / 40 10 30 60
LWT 54 82 52 77 / 50 20 40 50
&&
.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls
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